Sunday, August 15, 2021

PM Imran Khan and Shibli Faraz view a demonstration of a locally made electronic voting machine.


 Prime Minister Imran Khan received a detailed demonstration of a locally made EVM last week. While the Minister for Science and Technology, Shelbi Farad, claimed the machines “couldn’t be hacked”, the PM tweeted out his hope that “finally we will have elections in Pakistan where all contestants will accept the results.”

THE BENEFITS OF ELECTION TECHNOLOGY

Election technology is an enigma. It does bring proven and documented benefits. Introduction of EVMs and results transmission systems (RTSs) dramatically speed up result reporting. This is a blessing in developing countries such as the Philippines, various African nations and even Pakistan, where extended delays in counting and reporting tend to provide a window for vote tampering.

EVMs have also considerably reduced polling-station fraud in India. Unlike paper-based elections, EVMs prevent incorrect marking and spoilage of ballots, ensuring that every vote actually counts.

 

THE DARK SIDE OF ELECTION TECHNOLOGY

Almost every voting system which has been seriously investigated — EVM or internet voting platform — has been hacked. In most cases, the hacking has been trivially easy. There are even YouTube demos on the topic.

The world’s premier security conference, Deacon, now conducts an annual election technology hackathon, with the aim of educating policymakers, election administrators and civil society. In the 2019 iteration, the organizers gathered 100 voting machines, each of which was certified for use in one or more US states. Over the course of the weekend, every single one was hacked. The organizers, renowned experts in election security, commented in their report: “As disturbing as this outcome is, we note that it is at this point an unsurprising result.”

 

Another critically important security difference: in stark contrast to banks, election systems attract a whole different class of attacker — elite intelligence agencies. There is ample evidence of state-backed Russian and Chinese campaigns infiltrating US voting systems. We are now formally in the domain of cyberwarfare, a whole new league.

A key weapon in the cyberwarfare arsenal is the secret practice of discovering and hoarding knowledge of system vulnerabilities and then exploiting them at the most critical time with devastating effect. This is called a ‘zero-day attack’ — because the attacked party literally gets zero days to fix the problem.

The Stunt worm, a malicious computer malware that wreaked havoc on Iran’s nuclear program in 2010 used four hitherto unknown vulnerabilities in Windows, an unprecedented number. In 2015, researchers demonstrated zero-day attacks on the largest internet voting deployment in the world, the New South Wales vote system.

 

A rich body of research literature has emerged to analyses such cases. The real reason, some suspect, is not technological, it is perhaps psychological. In a recent paper studying the “unintended consequences of election technology” in African countries, elections expert Nick Cheese man suggests that “…the growing use of these technologies has been driven by the fetishisation of technology, rather than by rigorous assessment of their effectiveness; that they may create significant opportunities for corruption that vitiate their potential impact; and that they carry significant opportunity costs. Indeed, precisely because new technology tends to deflect attention away from more ‘traditional’ strategies, the failure of digital checks and balances often renders an electoral process even more vulnerable to rigging than it was before.”

This fetishisation commonly manifests in the belief that technology will result in perfectly secure and trusted elections, as legitimate as those in any Western country.

This very rarely happens. Technology does not eliminate the burden of trust, it usually shifts it from one party to another — electronic voting systems may protect against some attacks, but might not against others.

In several cases, this use of technology introduces its own set of risks, a common concept in risk management. Attacks evolve with time. Security features that look good on paper may fail in reality and those that work in one country may not deliver in another. Technology has to be very carefully adapted to the social and cultural realities of each environment.

Cheese man quotes various other concerns very relevant to us: election technology is usually implemented in ways that priorities efficiency over transparency. The glitter of new technology tends to distract our attention away from the overall ecosystem that needs to be built to manage and support the technology.

Indeed, some elements of this ecosystem may require more attention and expense than the technology itself. Deploying technology gives rise to immense new organizational and logistical challenges that most countries may be unprepared for.

Many electoral commissions rely heavily on international funding and foreign expertise, and the long-term sustainability of such technology interventions is questionable. Most importantly, technology will likely not address social and human factors — problems such as voter intimidation, bribery, coercion, media bias and abuse of state power — which are also critical to restoring citizen confidence in elections.

But Cheese man is keen to assert that he is not against election technology in principle: “These observations are not intended as a manifesto against the digitization of elections … but the analysis draws attention to the importance of more careful assessments of these problems, as well the benefits, of such technologies — and to the need for more careful planning in their deployment.”

This is how we, in Pakistan, need to approach election technology too.

 

 

We need to build capacity on the election technology front. This is hard work but relatively straightforward. We also need to work on the ecosystem. This is much harder work that requires research, dialogue, vision and statesmanship.

Election technology has had a very troubled history, but there is a light at the end of the tunnel. Researchers have finally resolved the Gordian knot, the seemingly-impossible conflict between voter privacy and transparency. There have been revolutionary game-changing developments in the past decade: it is now possible to maintain voter privacy while also ensuring that votes are not tampered with.

Researchers have devised ways to cryptographically track individual votes without revealing their content whilst also ensuring that they have been correctly counted. An easy way to picture this is how one can track a courier delivery using a tracking number — with the surprising futuristic feature that the number also serves as a guarantee that no one has tampered with your package.

This new paradigm of ‘evidence-based elections’ and ‘verifiability’ gives voters ironclad guarantees that the votes they cast have not been manipulated. Voters no longer have to repose blind faith in technology and poll workers, they can now audit these systems at home using their computers or phones. This level of transparency is unprecedented and is a giant step towards restoring citizen confidence in elections.

When we were authoring our IVTF report in 2018, our foremost recommendation to the ECP was that it urgently institute a research wing. It’s first mission: to investigate and adapt verifiable voting systems for Pakistan. Estonia was first to implement this successfully. Other countries are taking note.

The Indian state of Telangana is actively studying the Estonian system for its own pilot. Microsoft has partnered with some of the world’s largest election technology vendors to make EVMs verifiable. It is cause for celebration that our own stakeholders are converging to this technology. After a few bumpy steps, this is an excellent start to our own election technology journey.

But there is a lot more work to be done.

A WORTHWHILE JOURNEY

For one, the ECP will require a concerted modernization drive. It is simply not possible to deploy electronic voting on a large scale otherwise. The ECP also needs to actively reorient towards technology.

Thus far, the ECP has a stellar track record of assisting voters with technology, a prime example being the award-winning 8300 SMS service, which voters use to access their voting information on their cell phones. But with election technology, for some puzzling reason, the ECP has chosen to outsource the difficult problems. This has proved counterproductive.

By not cultivating in-house technology expertise, the ECP is forced to look to vendors, who typically lack expertise in new technologies and are also not familiar with the intricacies and ground realities of Pakistan’s elections landscape. This automatically restricts options. Tiny tweaks in existing systems are possible, but the window for genuine innovation is closed. In a sense, the ECP’s immense technology dependency is a subtle yet very real limitation on the ECP’s vaunted autonomy.

Second, we need to work hard on the ecosystem. The ECP and the government need to encourage extensive consultation and wide-ranging stakeholder participation in every step of the process. The opposition needs to take up the government’s invitation to discuss electoral reforms. Election technology is too important to be left solely in the hands of technologists, politicians and government officials.

President Arif Alvi has taken the lead in bringing the debate to the public. It is equally vital that civil society assert itself. Citizen activists, academics and civil society actually lead election integrity efforts in countries like the US and India. Fafen’s (Free and Fair Election Network) call “for a more extended public and political discourse” is certainly very welcome. Pildat (Pakistan Institute of Legislative Development and Transparency) also recently organized a very successful short course to kick-start a sustained discussion.

But there is a mountain of research still to be done. We need to build every different kind of EVM and internet voting system under the sun. We need to trial promising systems at every possible opportunity, in university elections, trader organization polls, and bar councils. We need to conduct high quality pilots with scientific rigor. We need to immerse ourselves in the e-voting literature and document ecosystem components, best practices, standards and common pitfalls.

We need to build bridges with the international research community, the way Estonia, India and Australia have done. We need bug bounties and hackathons that meet international standards. We need usability studies, we need cost-benefits analyses, we need threat models and risk assessments.

We need to devise mechanisms to facilitate transparency and third-party audits suited to Pakistan. We need research on logistics, workflow and maintenance. If we’re going to set up one of the largest EVM deployments in the world — over 300,000 machines — we need environmental impact studies.

This list is a long one.

This sort of work — genuine research and development to adapt technology to our own unique and complex ground realities — has rarely ever been done before. It is unclear if we even have the expertise and capacity to undertake such studies. We need to build this culture.

In the West, it is the modus operandi: technology policy is directly informed by high quality research. Usually this is accomplished via research collaborations, round-table conferences, seminars, working groups, and public calls for comments. Last year, when South Africa mulled the introduction of electronic voting, there were over 12,000 submissions from the general public and civil society.

If this seems like too much work, it is.

If there is one key lesson in the saga of election technology, it is that we cannot afford shortcuts. We need to follow every process in the book, we need to dot ever I and cross every t. The election technology ecosystem is typically the most neglected component in deployments.

An easier way to think of this: we don’t just need Estonia-style software to succeed — we need to develop the kind of ethos in which people can innovate such systems and deploy and use them successfully. We need to inculcate that sense of professionalism, that commitment to transparency and democracy, those high standards of research and — most importantly — that sense of vision and depth.

There is an elegant irony in the fact that the real secret to succeeding with election technology is not just about having the fanciest machine or the most cutting-edge system. Rather, it is linked to the quality of our effort, how we engage and collaborate with each other and our genuine commitment to transparency. To quote Cheese man again regarding election technology in Africa: “Unsurprisingly, we find that the greatest gains from digitization come from countries where the quality of democracy is higher and the electoral commission more independent.”

No comments:

Post a Comment

Local Mobile Phone in Pakistan

The country manufactured 12.27 million mobile phones compared to the imports of 8.29m sets during the first seven months of 2021, data relea...